台风风暴潮灾害风险评估研究综述-海洋预报

台风风暴潮灾害风险评估研究综述

单位：1. 浙江省海洋监测预报中心, 浙江杭州 310007;
2. 中国海洋大学环境科学与工程学院, 山东青岛 266100;
3. 国家海洋环境预报中心, 北京 100081

分类号：P731.23

出版年·卷·期（页码）：2016·33·第二期（81-88）

摘要：

综合前人研究成果,认为风暴潮灾害风险系统由致灾因子危险性、承灾体脆弱性和灾害的损害组成,并从致灾因子危险性、承灾体脆弱性入手,对国内外风暴潮灾害风险评估主要研究方法进行系统梳理、总结,比较其优势及不足,对未来的研究重点进行了展望,为我国沿海地区风暴潮灾害风险评估理论的发展、完善提供参考。

Base on the previous studies, this paper consider that the storm surge disaster risk system is composed by the storm surge hazard, the vulnerability of storm surge disaster hazard bearing bodies and disaster consequences. At the same time, the latest progress of storm surge risk assessment method are systematically reviewed, and the advantage and disadvantage are also compared, specially focusing on the storm surge hazard and vulnerability. Additionally, in this paper, a future research emphasis in storm surge risk assessment is prospected. This paper can provide reference for the development of China's coastal areas, the storm surge disaster risk assessment theory to improve.

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