美国海军海洋业务预报纵览-海洋预报

美国海军海洋业务预报纵览

单位：1. 海军海洋水文气象中心, 北京100161;
2. 航空气象防化研究所, 北京100085

分类号：P731

出版年·卷·期（页码）：2015·32·第五期（98-105）

摘要：

回顾了过去几十年美国海军海洋学的发展历程,介绍了海军海洋学业务保障体系,对其科研机构和研发机制以及业务系统发展特点进行总结,同时指出美国海军海洋预报业务系统和总体科研发展规划。通过深入分析国外海洋气象科技发展的最新动态和海洋气象预报业务科研建设的最新成果,对我国海洋气象事业的业务发展和科研规划提供有价值的参考。

The US naval oceanography have the prominent technological advantages in the world wide oceanic monitoring and forecasting, and the developments undergo revolutionary infrastructure changes. The naval METOC operational support and service system are introduced, and the Science and Technology(S&T), Research and Development (R&D), the operational model systems are described, the future thrusts in Navy ocean prediction are discussed. The motivation lies in the analyses and statement in the US naval oceanography to provide the valuable and reference for our national oceanic developments and programs.

参考文献：

[1] 郑崇伟, 游小宝, 潘静, 等. 钓鱼岛、黄岩岛海域风能及波浪能开发环境分析[J]. 海洋预报, 2014, 31(1): 49-57.
[2] 郑崇伟, 潘静, 黄刚. 利用WW3 模式实现中国海击水概率数值预报[J]. 北京航空航天大学学报, 2014, 40(3): 314-320.
[3] Zheng C W, Li C Y. Variation of the wave energy and significant wave height in the China Sea and adjacent waters [J]. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 2015, 43: 381-387.
[4] Zheng C W, Pan J, Li J X. Assessing the China Sea wind energy and wave energy resources from 1988 to 2009 [J]. Ocean Engineering, 2013, 65: 39-48.
[5] Burnett W, Harding J, Heburn G. Overview of operational ocean forecasting in the U.S. Navy: Past, present & future[J]. Oceanography, 2002, 15(1): 4-12.
[6] Burnett W, Harper S, Preller R, et al. Overview of operational ocean forecasting in the US Navy: Past, present, and future[J]. Oceanography, 2014, 27(3): 24-31.
[7] Anonymous. Ocean forecasting[J]. Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union, 1977, 58(5): 279-281.
[8] Clancy R M, Pollak K D. A real-time synoptic ocean thermal analysis/forecast system[J]. Progress in Oceanography, 1983, 12 (4): 383-424.
[9] Peloquin R A. The navy ocean modeling and prediction program— From research to operations: An overview[J]. Oceanography, 1992, 5(1): 4-8.
[10] Rosmond T E, Teixera J, Peng M, et al. Navy Operational Global Atmospheric Prediction System (NOGAPS): Forcing for ocean models[J]. Oceanography, 2002, 15(1): 99-108.
[11] Hodur R M. The Naval Research Laboratory's Coupled Ocean/ Atmosphere Mesoscale Prediction System (COAMPS) [J]. MonthlyWeather Review, 1997, 125(7): 1414-1430.
[12] Tolman H L, Balasubramaniyan B, Burroughs L D, et al. Development and implementation of wind-generated ocean surface wave models at NCEP[J]. Weather and Forecasting, 2002, 17(2): 311-333.
[13] Rogers W E, Hwang P A, Wang D W. Investigation of wave growth and decay in the SWAN model: Three regional-scale applications[J]. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 2003, 33(2): 366-389.
[14] Doyle J D, Hodur R M, Chen S, et al. Tropical cyclone prediction using COAMPS-TC[J]. Oceanography, 2014, 27(3): 104-115.
[15] Curry K, Sandgathe S, Lord S, et al. The Earth System Prediction Capability: A multiagency partnership to advance US environmental prediction[EB/OL]. (2011-01-25). https://ams. confex.com/ams/91Annual/webprogram/Paper180124.html.
[16] Waliser D, Weickmann K, Dole R, et al. The experimental MJO prediction project[J]. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 2006, 87(4): 425-431.
[17] 刘明月, 兰秀凯. 怎样做好南海的气象保障[J]. 海洋预报, 2011, 28(6): 72-76.

服务与反馈：

【文章下载】【发表评论】【查看评论】【加入收藏】