耦合潜源参数不确定性效应的地震海啸危险性分析—

耦合潜源参数不确定性效应的地震海啸危险性分析——原理与方法

单位：中国地震局防灾科技学院, 河北三河065201

分类号：P731.25

出版年·卷·期（页码）：2014·31·第六期（7-13）

摘要：

总结基于数值模拟的地震海啸危险性分析的基本步骤,论述潜源位置界定原则、潜源参数取值方法、潜源地震海啸发生率估算方法,同时给出一种可以耦合潜源参数不确定性效应的地震海啸危险性分析方法.

The basic steps of the seismic tsunami hazard analysis based on numerical simulation is summarized. The specification of the potential seismic tsunami source location, selection of potential source parameters as well as estimation of the seismic tsunami occurrence rate is discussed. Meanwhile, a method of seismic tsunami hazard analysis coupling the uncertainty effect of the potential source parameters is proposed in this paper.

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