一个复杂路径台风的卫星云图特征

作者：朱锁凤1  施国强2

单位：1. 南京大学大气科学系, 南京; 2. 国家海洋局海洋环境预报中心, 北京

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分类号：

出版年·卷·期（页码）：1988·5·第二期（35-42）

摘要：

8616号台风(1986年8月16日-9月6日)形成于南海东北部海面,前后历时22天,两进两出南海,三次登陆。强度一般,路径复杂,影响范围广,灾害严重,历史上罕见。这一路径是蝴蝶结型的南海长生命史台风(本文称“蝶型”路径台风),它已引起气象学界的极大兴趣。作者用卫星云图对这一罕见的特异路径台风作初步研究,从卫星云图的演变,可以清晰地预示台风未来12-36小时的移动趋势,从而为预报台风的移动提供一个及时、明晰、可靠的工具。

Typhoon 8616(wayne)formed over the northeast part of the South China Sea on 16 August 1986 and lasted for 22 days, During this period, it went through the South China Sea and landed three times with a moderate strength and a complex track in the shape of butterfly bow, thus making heavy disaster destruction. This rarely-happened typhoon has attracted wide interests in the meteorological cycle. In this paper, the authors have primarily analyzed the track of Typhoon 8616 by means of satellite cloud pictures and found that the evolution of the pictures is able to clearly show the moving trend of typhoon in the forthcoming 12?6 hours and that the analysis of the pictures provides a very useful tool for the acurate forecasting of the track of typhoon.

参考文献：

[1] Wmo Tropical Meteorology Programme commission For Atmospheric Scieniences Volume 1111-Topics 6-9 7.2 P9. [2] 包澄澜等, 双台风互旋与引导气流关系的研究, 海洋学报7 NO.6 P697-705(1985). [3] 陈联寿等, 西太平洋台风概论科学出版社1979. [4] 包澄澜, 气象卫星云图在台风路径预报中的应用, 油印本1984.

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