南极海冰与西北太平洋台风-海洋预报

南极海冰与西北太平洋台风

单位：国家海洋环境预报中心, 北京

分类号：

出版年·卷·期（页码）：1996·13·第一期（34-40）

摘要：

本文利用最大熵谱分别计算了南极4个区海冰和西北太平洋台风发生频数的变化周期,并对前3年的南极海冰强弱和当年的台风发生频数进行了逐月时间序列相关分析。从初步分析结果中得出一些比较有意义的结论,南极海冰前1年海冰多,则北半球西北太平洋台风发生频数就会高,以罗斯海域为主体的Ⅱ区海冰与北安心西北太平洋台风发生频数无关。

Both the variation Periods of Antarctic sea-ice in four regions and the Typhoon occuring in northwest Pacific over North Hemisphere is analyzed with the method of maximum entropy spectrum. The monthly time-series correlations between the Antarctic sea-ice during three years ealier and Typhoon occurrenec frequency in current year, are analyzed. Some quite significant results are obtained. If the Antarctic sea ice during 1 year ealier was more, the frequency of the Typhoon occurring on northwest Pacific in current year was higner. In region Ⅱ which is dominated by Ross Sea, ice intensity does, not relate to the frequency of the Typhoon occurrence.

参考文献：

[1] 解思梅等,南极海冰特征初探,南极研究,1993, (5)2, 57-62.
[2] Xie Simei et al.,The Variation future of the Antarctic,ice(II),Acts Oceanologica Sinica, 1994, 13(1), pp. 73-84.
[3] Zwelly, H. J.,et al.,Antarctic sea ice, Satellite 1973-1976. Passive-microwave Observation, Washington, NASA,1992,pp.459,209.
[4] XIe Simei, Sea surface temperature of the North Pacific Ocean and its effects pn climate in East Asia, China Ocean Press,1991 Beijing,1991, 1-126.
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[6] Xie Simei al.,Iateracitoa between Antarctic sea ice and ENSO events, Proceedings of the NIPR Symposium on Polar Meteorolory, and Glaciology, No. 8,1994, pp. 96-100.

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