摘要:
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多层递阶预报是动态系统的新型统计预报理论。由于它把动态系统看成是一个时变参数系统,因而与客观实际较为符合,预报误差也相对较小,利用它来进行台风预报具有一定的实用价值。 |
The multilayer recurrence forecast is a statistical forecast theory of a dynamical system. Duto regarding new type of the dynamical system as a time dependent parameter system, it conforms relatively reality and forecast error is relatively small. It is valuable when used to forecast typhoon. |
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