0606号台风“派比安”风暴潮特征分析与总结-海洋预报

0606号台风“派比安”风暴潮特征分析与总结

单位：1. 中国海洋大学山东青岛 266003;
2. 国家海洋局南海环境监测中心广东广州 510300;
3. 国家海洋局南海分局广东广州 510310

分类号：P731

出版年·卷·期（页码）：2008·25·第二期（99-105）

摘要：

2006年第6号台风"派比安"在广东境内的阳西到电白之间沿海登陆,此次台风引起的大风、巨浪以及强降雨给粤、桂、琼三省的沿海地区构成极大的威胁。本文以闸坡站和硇洲站的实测资料为依据,运用水文统计学和气象学等相关知识,对粤西沿海的潮位和风暴增水等特性进行初步分析,得出台风的登陆位置、台风风力、大风持续时间以及浪高等对风暴潮的产生有重要的指示作用,并且还探讨了台风路径和特殊的地形特征等因素致使最大增水出现时间与台风登陆时间存在时间上的前后偏差。本文通过分析此次台风的风暴增水特征,可以帮助总结预报经验,为今后提高风暴潮预报的准确度提供参考。

In 2006 the NO.6 typhoon "Prapiroon" landed on a point between Yangxi and Dianbai of Guangdong Province.It brought serious economic loss for its huge wind,the very rough sea waves as well as strong rain for Guangdong,Guangxi and Hainan province coastal area.This article utilization hydrology statistics and meteorology knowledge on analyzing tidal level and the storm tide from Naozhou and Zhapo marine observation stations.Thus,certain relations between the typhoon and the storm surge are concluded that the typhoons’ landing position,wind power,the wind’s last time and waves would clearly prescribe the storm surge.The author has also discussed factors such as typhoon track and special terrain characteristic causes deriation between happening time of peak surges at tidal stations and typhoon landing time.This article through analyzes this typhoon the storm surge characteristic,may help to sum up experiences,and to improve the accuracy of storm surge prediction for the future.

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